Markets

Markets sold off once again overnight because good news (labour market strength) is bad news in an overheated economy, one that the Fed is determined to put a dent into through rate hikes.

Initial jobless claims (third row, third column) continue to show no signs of moving up. In other words, the tight labour market, begetting higher wage growth and higher inflation is the fear in the mind of the Fed.

We think it will roll over, and there’s plenty of anecdotal data to suggest that is happening, like downgrades and hiring freezes, but for right now, it simply means more persistent real interest rates, which the market does not like.

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Please note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

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