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Global macro

09 October 2026
Timing Depending on how long you've followed markets, you might have heard of the best "magazine cover" contra going. It's Time magazine. Whoever is on the front, or whatever topic is tabled, is usually the absolute peak of whatever that…
03 Sep 2026

Global macro

PMIs PMIs generally continue to look strong across the board. Even China had a bit of a bounce, and that economy has, hithertofore, been very weak as a result of the property sector implosion. That said, just on China, the…
01 Sep 2026

Stocks

CKF CKF is Collins Food, the owner of the Aussie (+ some international) KFC franchises. Sales continue to be pretty strong in Aus. To the extent that this is a highly discretionary product, it is again supportive of the idea…
28 Aug 2026

Global macro

Stocks vs bonds We are having lots of conversations about the bond market sell-off, and the dangerous of duration, at the moment. Something we think that's worth keeping in mind is the below graph, that's done the rounds on the…
27 Aug 2026

Global macro

Aus spending JBH (JB Hi-Fi) did table some fairly weak looking LFL, as did TPW (Temple and Webster). But the household spending data continues to give us comfort that the wheels are not flying off the Aussie consumer in aggregate…
27 Aug 2026

Stocks

WOR Worley (big engineering firm) has been beset by issues in the Middle-East (project delays, disruptions associated with the war) and with a challenging environment in Chemicals. Also, high interest rates do tend to weigh on big projects (hard to…
26 Aug 2026

Global macro

Aus inflation Aus inflation prints still moving in the wrong direction. 3.6% on the trimmed monthly series. The impact on the market was broadly consistent with a tightening shock, risky assets lower, long duration property lower, AUD and rates both…
26 Aug 2026

Stocks

MGR After a few years of steep declines the MGR property portfolio lifted, a touch. Funds from operations improved, with Investments (the landlord rental income) moving higher (driven by office and retail and industrial, living is also in there somewhere,…
25 Aug 2026

Stocks

WDS Woodies is crushing it in the current environment. Results ahead of expectations, and strong energy mix pricing backdrop given the war in the Middle East and closure/disruption in the Persian Gulf. EDV Endeavour (owner of hotels and liquor) is…

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